Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.012132 0.014773 0.018100 0.022700 0.029065 0.037833 0.051359
2025-02-23 0.008835 0.011735 0.015888 0.022595 0.033872 0.053716 0.096247
2025-03-02 0.006949 0.009700 0.013950 0.021519 0.036059 0.066864 0.155239
2025-03-09 0.005854 0.008480 0.012779 0.021055 0.038852 0.083604 0.259046
2025-03-16 0.005214 0.007807 0.012279 0.021545 0.043839 0.111342 0.507327
2025-03-23 0.004671 0.007178 0.011686 0.021609 0.047922 0.142887 1.034860
2025-03-30 0.004131 0.006459 0.010766 0.020654 0.048796 0.165312 1.899680
2025-04-06 0.003738 0.005943 0.010135 0.020169 0.050854 0.198466 4.413517
2025-04-13 0.003506 0.005685 0.009966 0.020746 0.056874 0.270862 25.584559
2025-04-20 0.003383 0.005610 0.010156 0.022321 0.068061 0.431752 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003227 0.005451 0.010131 0.023312 0.078169 0.666631 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003028 0.005179 0.009805 0.023317 0.083963 0.922545 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002824 0.004901 0.009486 0.023475 0.092523 1.473172 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002624 0.004614 0.009106 0.023361 0.100278 2.427766 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002404 0.004257 0.008491 0.022234 0.100365 3.242374 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002239 0.004000 0.008090 0.021749 0.104928 5.296870 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002134 0.003862 0.007968 0.022262 0.118928 14.797108 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002023 0.003698 0.007748 0.022329 0.129969 50.701516 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001885 0.003461 0.007302 0.021331 0.129108 107.690119 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001778 0.003283 0.006993 0.020824 0.133323 633.589619 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001716 0.003204 0.006943 0.021427 0.152938 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001688 0.003200 0.007104 0.023074 0.194551 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001644 0.003151 0.007128 0.024111 0.234443 NaN NaN